Ten Minutes On... Ukraine, Russia and the Illusion of Resolution

TEN MINUTES ON…

Following Ukraine's long range drone strikes against Russia last week, this episode examines the shifting narrative around the Russia–Ukraine war, where recent commentary has begun to suggest Ukraine is gaining momentum while Russia is weakening. It challenges that assumption by showing a more uneven and unstable reality: stalled frontlines, intensified drone warfare, continued Russian mobilisation capacity, and a deepening Ukraine–Europe security and financial alignment. It also explores how external actors—including the EU, China, Iran, and North Korea—are reshaping the conflict’s dynamics. 

Rather than moving towards resolution, the war increasingly resembles a long-term struggle defined by adaptation, escalation risks, and incomplete mobilisation on all sides. The episode explains why this matters for understanding how long the war is likely to continue, why assumptions of resolution are premature, and how the conflict is increasingly shaped by adaptation and external alignment rather than decisive battlefield breakthroughs.

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