Not like Venezuela: why Iran is likely to survive US-Israeli strikes

SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST

"Iran’s leadership is likely to prove resilient despite US-Israeli decapitation tactics, analysts say. Dozens of senior Iranian officials, including the former supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and national security chief Ali Larijani, have been killed since the start of the bombing raids on February 28.
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Guy Burton, an independent political analyst, said the Iranian system had been “designed to withstand both external military pressure and internal dissent”.
“Leadership decapitation does not translate easily into systemic collapse. The relatively rapid replacement of senior figures suggests prior contingency planning and institutional depth,” he said.
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Burton also pointed to the importance of religion in the world’s biggest Shia majority country, but said “the regime today relies less on ideological cohesion and more on coercive capacity”, under pressure from both internal unrest and external threat."

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